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A few weeks out from the Republican primary for Wyoming’s lone House seat, Rep. Liz Cheney trails her Donald Trump-backed challenger Harriet Hageman, polls show.

Cheney has effectively been a GOP pariah since backing the impeachment of the former president in early 2021 and then accepting appointment to the House Jan. 6 committee. Cheney lost her House Republican leadership position in May 2021 and has since grown more outspoken against Trump for trying to prevent President Joe Biden from taking office.

But Cheney, first elected in 2016, trails Hageman by about 30 points ahead of the Aug. 16 GOP primary, which, in heavily Republican Wyoming, is tantamount to victory in November.

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A poll released on Monday and commissioned by Club For Growth, a 501(c)(4) conservative organization backing Hageman in the race, shows Hageman at 59% to Cheney’s 31% among likely primary voters.

Cheney supporters argue that polling conducted for Club for Growth has been inaccurate on more than one occasion in the past. They cite recent surveys that showed Ohio Senate GOP primary candidate Josh Mandel in the lead of a race he lost to party rival J.D. Vance and a poll showing Rep. Mo Brooks (R-AL) ahead in his Senate primary race before he lost.

But a Casper Star-Tribune poll released on Friday evening shows 52% of likely primary voters stating they plan to support Hageman to Cheney’s 30%.

Conservative outside groups have been spending heavily against Cheney, and Trumpworld has made her a top target heading into the 2022 midterm elections.

As of the end of last quarter, Cheney had a significant cash advantage, with $7 million in her war chest to Hageman’s $1.4 million.

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While the polling indicates Cheney may be behind with Republicans in the Cowboy State, backing from Democrats who are allowed to change their voter registration and participate in the primary could change the dynamics in the race.

Cheney has also not ruled out a presidential bid in 2024, as her profile has risen in the face of the anti-Trump movement.